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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10202/156

Title:	The effects of disasters on income mobility: Bootstrap inference and measurement error simulations
Authors:	Villanger, Espen
Keywords:	Income mobility Effects of disasters Bootstrap Measurement error Simulations Natural experiments Control group Poverty
Issue Date:	2003
Publisher:	Chr. Michelsen Institute
Series/Report no.:	CMI Working paper WP 2003: 6
Abstract:	We evaluate the impact of disasters on income mobility by drawing on “natural experiments”. While the poor have a much higher probability of remaining poor when entering a crisis compared to normal times, there is also a negative effect in the year after. Richer households seem to be unaffected. A simple bootstrap method is proposed to facilitate statistical inference for mobility matrices. Also, we simulate measurement error to illustrate its magnitude on these matrices. Small errors induce a substantial downward bias of the probability of remaining poor, while comp arisons across states seem more robust, which is promising for impact analysis.
URI:	http://hdl.handle.net/10202/156
ISBN:	82-8062-052-4
ISSN:	0804-3639
Appears in Collections:	CMI Collection (Reports, Working Papers, Articles etc.)

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